{"ts":"2026-10-17T19:25:34.387Z","venues":{"polymarket":{"venue":"polymarket","eventId":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30","title":"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30","volume":1387911.7549979999,"liquidity":79055.0794,"rules":{"text":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","oracle":"UMA Optimistic Oracle","bond":500,"reward":5,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7"},"markets":[{"venue":"polymarket","eventId":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30","marketId":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-december-31","title":"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?","deadline":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","deadlineLabel":"December 31, 2026","status":"open","bid":0.23,"ask":0.24,"mid":0.235,"last":0.24,"spread":0.01,"volume":249330.21290199997,"volume24h":4515.780734,"liquidity":33183.4493,"openInterest":null,"depth5":{"bid":12187,"ask":5651},"book":{"bids":[[0.23,2105.33],[0.22,3887.42],[0.21,23043.89],[0.2,30040.66],[0.18,1186.2]],"asks":[[0.24,1063.83],[0.25,5755.38],[0.26,12920.39],[0.27,2005.28],[0.28,201.46]]},"bookErr":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30","umaBond":500,"umaReward":5,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7"},{"venue":"polymarket","eventId":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30","marketId":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-january-31-2027","title":"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?","deadline":"2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","deadlineLabel":"January 31, 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2027","status":"open","bid":0.35,"ask":0.37,"mid":0.36,"last":0.37,"spread":0.02,"volume":21696.450966,"volume24h":185.26270300000002,"liquidity":3790.0757,"openInterest":null,"depth5":{"bid":604,"ask":755},"book":{"bids":[[0.35,245],[0.34,477.89],[0.33,982.09],[0.32,100],[0.3,5]],"asks":[[0.37,229],[0.38,926.09],[0.39,266.49],[0.4,470],[0.41,65]]},"bookErr":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30","umaBond":500,"umaReward":5,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7"},{"venue":"polymarket","eventId":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30","marketId":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-2027","title":"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?","deadline":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","deadlineLabel":"June 30, 2027","status":"open","bid":0.53,"ask":0.54,"mid":0.535,"last":0.54,"spread":0.01,"volume":34864.936967999995,"volume24h":4080.616913,"liquidity":19463.1639,"openInterest":null,"depth5":{"bid":1032,"ask":14445},"book":{"bids":[[0.53,60],[0.52,928.15],[0.51,644.96],[0.5,327.53],[0.49,50]],"asks":[[0.54,76.19],[0.55,5384.33],[0.56,6758],[0.57,13435.53],[0.6,5000]]},"bookErr":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30","umaBond":500,"umaReward":5,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7"},{"venue":"polymarket","eventId":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30","marketId":"tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-december-31-2027","title":"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?","deadline":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","deadlineLabel":"December 31, 2027","status":"open","bid":0.63,"ask":0.65,"mid":0.64,"last":0.63,"spread":0.02,"volume":43037.071536,"volume24h":2205.109705,"liquidity":9829.234,"openInterest":null,"depth5":{"bid":4644,"ask":4646},"book":{"bids":[[0.63,18],[0.62,3492.47],[0.61,3087.05],[0.6,105],[0.59,883.7]],"asks":[[0.65,208.11],[0.66,3001],[0.67,2007.17],[0.68,200],[0.69,1520.08]]},"bookErr":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30","umaBond":500,"umaReward":5,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7"}],"fetchedAt":"2026-10-17T19:25:34.387Z"},"kalshi":{"venue":"kalshi","eventId":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","title":"When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger","rules":{"primary":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","secondary":"The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. CEO statements through official channels qualify. Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify. The announcement must occur after market issuance. Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.\n\nThis market resolves Yes regardless of which entity is the acquirer and which is the target. A Tesla acquisition of SpaceX, a SpaceX acquisition of Tesla, a reverse merger, or a stock-for-stock combination all satisfy the Payout Criterion equally, provided a definitive agreement is publicly announced.\n\nA statement by Elon Musk shall only satisfy the Payout Criterion if it constitutes an unambiguous, affirmative confirmation of a definitive signed agreement — not an expression of intent, a hypothetical, a negotiation update, or a speculative comment about a future combination.","sources":["the Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR database","Fox Business","ABC","CNBC","The Wall Street Journal","MSNBC","Financial Times","The Information","NBC","The Washington Post","company","The New York Times","MarketWatch","Axios","Reuters","CNN","the Associated Press","CBS","Politico","Tesla","SpaceX"]},"markets":[{"venue":"kalshi","eventId":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","marketId":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26NOV01","title":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Nov 1, 2026?","deadline":"2026-11-01T04:59:00Z","deadlineLabel":"Before Nov 1, 2026","status":"active","bid":0.03,"ask":0.04,"mid":0.035,"last":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"volume":199373.47,"volume24h":4675.69,"liquidity":null,"openInterest":128124.67,"depth5":{"bid":null,"ask":null},"book":{"bids":[],"asks":[]},"bookErr":"429 https://api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/markets/KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26NOV01/orderbook","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger","rulesPrimary":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."},{"venue":"kalshi","eventId":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","marketId":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26DEC01","title":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Dec 1, 2026?","deadline":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","deadlineLabel":"Before Dec 1, 2026","status":"active","bid":0.08,"ask":0.1,"mid":0.09,"last":0.08,"spread":0.02,"volume":60641.59,"volume24h":1917.31,"liquidity":null,"openInterest":30803.87,"depth5":{"bid":115,"ask":119},"book":{"bids":[[0.08,115.19],[0.07,659.69],[0.06,493],[0.05,500],[0.04,125]],"asks":[[0.1,18.38],[0.11,486.13],[0.12,528],[0.14,1],[0.15,120.78]]},"bookErr":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger","rulesPrimary":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."},{"venue":"kalshi","eventId":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","marketId":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27JAN01","title":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2027?","deadline":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","deadlineLabel":"Before Jan 1, 2027","status":"active","bid":0.25,"ask":0.27,"mid":0.26,"last":0.28,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"volume":85946.28,"volume24h":2310.73,"liquidity":null,"openInterest":41651.38,"depth5":{"bid":null,"ask":null},"book":{"bids":[],"asks":[]},"bookErr":"429 https://api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/markets/KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27JAN01/orderbook","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger","rulesPrimary":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes."},{"venue":"kalshi","eventId":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","marketId":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27FEB01","title":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Feb 1, 2027?","deadline":"2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","deadlineLabel":"Before Feb 1, 2027","status":"active","bid":0.3,"ask":0.33,"mid":0.315,"last":0.3,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"volume":30752.21,"volume24h":3036.05,"liquidity":null,"openInterest":14424.05,"depth5":{"bid":null,"ask":null},"book":{"bids":[],"asks":[]},"bookErr":"429 https://api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/markets/KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27FEB01/orderbook","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger","rulesPrimary":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes."},{"venue":"kalshi","eventId":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","marketId":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27MAR01","title":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Mar 1, 2027?","deadline":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","deadlineLabel":"Before Mar 1, 2027","status":"active","bid":0.45,"ask":0.48,"mid":0.465,"last":0.45,"spread":0.03,"volume":44138.92,"volume24h":1055.75,"liquidity":null,"openInterest":19738.1,"depth5":{"bid":354,"ask":404},"book":{"bids":[[0.45,282.32],[0.44,28],[0.43,500],[0.37,23.6],[0.36,2]],"asks":[[0.48,17.34],[0.49,142.84],[0.5,650.67],[0.52,9.71],[0.53,1111]]},"bookErr":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger","rulesPrimary":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes."},{"venue":"kalshi","eventId":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","marketId":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27APR01","title":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Apr 1, 2027?","deadline":"2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","deadlineLabel":"Before Apr 1, 2027","status":"active","bid":0.59,"ask":0.6,"mid":0.595,"last":0.6,"spread":0.01,"volume":75995.54,"volume24h":3027.39,"liquidity":null,"openInterest":25350.62,"depth5":{"bid":495,"ask":587},"book":{"bids":[[0.59,9.96],[0.58,250.05],[0.57,51.17],[0.56,500],[0.55,64.03]],"asks":[[0.6,7.32],[0.61,80],[0.62,352.88],[0.63,500],[0.66,183.45]]},"bookErr":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcompanyactionmerger","rulesPrimary":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common 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